Saturday, January 24, 2026

Robin Brooks’ post earlier today, highlighting the “raging debasement trade,” captures a structural shift underway in global financial markets.

 Robin Brooks’ post earlier today, highlighting the “raging debasement trade,” captures a structural shift underway in global financial markets.

This trend is no longer confined to precious metals. Currencies of low‑debt countries are gaining relative strength, and the Swedish krona—once a cyclical and volatile currency—has begun to trade more like a safe haven.

This is not a market whim.

It should be read as a quiet but unmistakable warning signal: investors are becoming increasingly cautious toward the currencies of highly indebted nations.

Viewed through this lens, last Friday’s “Japan–U.S. time‑staggered rate‑check coordination” to counter yen depreciation takes on a different meaning.

The two countries sent sequential signals to the market to halt the yen’s slide against the dollar, presenting the move as a form of international cooperation.

Yet in substance, it may represent little more than an attempt to paper over the structural weaknesses in their own policy frameworks:

1. Expansive fiscal spending, and

2. Policies that erode currency value and threaten central bank independence.

If that is the case, then the coordinated intervention and the surge in the debasement trade are two sides of the same underlying problem.

Together, they point to a deeper issue:

the long‑term sustainability of Japan’s and America’s macroeconomic policies is increasingly in doubt.

The market may already be delivering its verdict—quietly, but decisively.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Administrative Notice — Update on My English Blog Platform

  Administrative Notice — Update on My English Blog Platform Dear Readers, Thank you very much for following my writings and for your con...